Introducing human papillomavirus (HPV) primary testing in the age of HPV vaccination: projected impact on colposcopy services in Wales.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the demand for colposcopy in the Cervical Screening Wales programme after the introduction of human papillomavirus (HPV) cervical screening, which coincided with the start of screening of women vaccinated against HPV types 16/18. DESIGN: The study used a computational model that assigns screening and screening-related colposcopy events to birth cohorts in individual calendar years. SETTING: Cervical Screening Wales. POPULATION: Women aged 25-64 years from birth cohorts 1953-2007. METHODS AND MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We estimated the numbers of colposcopies and high-grade cervical intraepithelial lesions (CIN2+) within Cervical Screening Wales in 2018-32, using official population projections for Wales and published estimates of the effects of HPV screening and vaccination. RESULTS: Vaccination will reduce the number of colposcopies by 10% within the first 3-4 years after the national roll-out of HPV screening, and by about 20% thereafter. The number of screening colposcopies is estimated to increase from 6100 in 2018 and peak at 8000 (+31%) in 2021, assuming current screening intervals are maintained. The numbers of CIN2+ lesions follow similar patterns, stabilising at around 1000 diagnoses per year by 2026, approximately 60% lower than at present. Extending the screening intervals to 5 years for all women shows similar trends but introduces peaks and troughs over the years. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination will not fully prevent an increase in colposcopies and detected CIN2+ lesions during the first 2-3 years of HPV-based screening but the numbers are expected to decrease substantially after 5-6 years. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: HPV-based cervical screening will initially increase colposcopy referral. In 6 years, this increase will be reversed, partly by HPV vaccination.

Family history of colorectal cancer and survival: a Swedish population-based study.

OBJECTIVES: A family history of colorectal cancer (CRC) is an established risk factor for developing CRC, whilst the impact of family history on prognosis is unclear. The present study assessed the association between family history and prognosis and, based on current evidence, explored whether this association was modified by age at diagnosis. METHODS: Using data from the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry (SCRCR) linked with the Multigeneration Register and the National Cancer Register, we identified 31 801 patients with a CRC diagnosed between 2007 and 2016. The SCRCR is a clinically rich database which includes information on the cancer stage, grade, location, treatment, complications and postoperative follow-up. RESULTS: We estimated excess mortality rate ratios (EMRR) for relative survival and hazard ratios (HR) for disease-free survival with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using flexible parametric models. We found no association between family history and relative survival (EMRR = 0.96, 95% CIs: 0.89-1.03, P = 0.21) or disease-free survival (HR = 0.98, 95% CIs: 0.91-1.06, P = 0.64). However, age was found to modify the impact of family history on prognosis. Young patients (<50 at diagnosis) with a positive family history had less advanced (i.e. stages I and II) cancers than those with no family history (OR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.89, P = 0.004) and lower excess mortality even after adjusting for cancer stage (EMMR = 0.63, 95% CIs: 0.47-0.84, P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that young individuals with a family history of CRC may have greater health awareness, attend opportunistic screening and adopt lifestyle changes, leading to earlier diagnosis and better prognosis.

Recovery practice in community mental health teams: national survey.

BACKGROUND: There is consensus about the importance of 'recovery' in mental health services, but the link between recovery orientation of mental health teams and personal recovery of individuals has been underresearched. AIMS: To investigate differences in team leader, clinician and service user perspectives of recovery orientation of community adult mental health teams in England. METHOD: In six English mental health National Health Service (NHS) trusts, randomly chosen community adult mental health teams were surveyed. A random sample of ten patients, one team leader and a convenience sample of five clinicians were surveyed from each team. All respondents rated the recovery orientation of their team using parallel versions of the Recovery Self Assessment (RSA). In addition, service users also rated their own personal recovery using the Questionnaire about Processes of Recovery (QPR). RESULTS: Team leaders (n = 22) rated recovery orientation higher than clinicians (n = 109) or patients (n = 120) (Wald(2) = 7.0, P = 0.03), and both NHS trust and team type influenced RSA ratings. Patient-rated recovery orientation was a predictor of personal recovery (b = 0.58, 95% CI 0.31-0.85, P<0.001). Team leaders and clinicians with experience of mental illness (39%) or supporting a family member or friend with mental illness (76%) did not differ in their RSA ratings from other team leaders or clinicians. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with team leaders, frontline clinicians and service users have less positive views on recovery orientation. Increasing recovery orientation may support personal recovery.

Non-enveloped HCV core protein as constitutive antigen of cold-precipitable immune complexes in type II mixed cryoglobulinaemia.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has been detected in a large proportion of patients with mixed cryoglobulinaemia (MC). Circulating 'free' non-enveloped HCV core protein has been demonstrated in HCV-infected patients, and this suggests its possible involvement in the formation of cryoprecipitable immune complexes (ICs). Thirty-two anti-HCV, HCV RNA-positive patients with type II MC were evaluated. Non-enveloped HCV core protein, HCV RNA sequences, total IgM, rheumatoid factor (RF) activity, IgG and IgG subclasses, C3 and C4 fractions, C1q protein and C1q binding activity were assessed in both cryoprecipitates and supernatants. Non-enveloped HCV core protein was demonstrated in 30 of 32 (93.7%) type II MC patients. After separation of cold-precipitable material, the protein was removed completely from supernatant in 12 patients (40%), whereas it was enriched in the cryoprecipitates of the remaining 18. In addition, HCV RNA and IgM molecules with RF activity were concentrated selectively in the cryoprecipitates. Differential precipitation was found for both total IgG and IgG subclasses, as they were less represented in the cryoglobulins and no selective enrichment was noted. Immunological characterization of HCV core protein-containing cryoprecipitating ICs after chromatographic fractionation showed that the IgM monoclonal component had RF activity, whereas anti-HCV core reactivity was confined to the IgG fraction. C1q enrichment in addition to high avidity of ICs for C1q binding in the cryoprecipitates suggest that complement activation may occur through the C1q protein pathway. The present data demonstrate that non-enveloped HCV core protein is a constitutive component of cryoprecipitable ICs in type II MC patients.